中国石化新闻网讯 据今日油价7月1日报道,夏季8月的需求将使6月底亚洲液化天然气(LNG)的价格在从三年来的低点上涨。这为贸易商从西北欧洲向亚洲出口货物提供动力。在西北欧,由于液化天然气供应和存储水平较高,价格继续低迷。
上周,活跃在现货市场的中国和日本买家提振了亚洲市场的价格。
去年由于日本和中国的气温十分炎热,导致液化天然气价格飙升,然而,今年(夏初)气温相对温和、凉爽,整个初夏,亚洲的需求仍然疲软。
早期预测显示,交易商不应再押注今年夏天的炎热天气来支撑亚洲液化天然气价格。如果亚洲各地的气温像一些天气预报所显示的那样,比去年夏天更温和、波动性更小,则需求可能会继续减弱。随着全球供应继续增长,液化天然气的供过于求的情况将进一步加剧。
路透数据显示,截至6月28日当周,初夏需求最终出现上涨,推动亚洲8月液化天然气(LNG)价格上涨20美分,至每百万英热单位4.80美元。消息人士告诉路透社,大部分需求来自日本和中国——世界第一和第二液化天然气进口国。而印度对发电厂的短期需求也有所增加。
路透社数据显示,由于欧洲的价格进一步下降,亚洲天然气价格的上涨,导致一些货物将从欧洲重新出口到亚洲市场,荷兰天然气中心的价格降至每百万英热3.20美元。
王佳晶 摘译自 今日油价
原文如下:
Are Asian LNG Prices About To Rally?
Some summer demand for August boosted the price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia at the end of June from three-year lows earlier in the month, providing an incentive to traders to re-export cargoes to Asia from Northwest Europe, where prices continue to be depressed with ample LNG supply and high storage levels.
Chinese and Japanese buyers active on the spot market boosted Asian prices last week.
Yet, overall early summer demand is Asia is still muted as temperatures are moderate and cooler than last year’s heatwaves in Japan and China that sent LNG prices surging.
Early forecasts suggest that traders shouldn’t bet on another heatwave this summer to prop up Asian LNG prices. If temperatures across Asia are more moderate and less volatile than last summer, as some weather forecasts suggest, demand could continue to be muted, deepening the glut in LNG as global supply continues to grow.
Sluggish early summer demand finally saw an uptick in the week to June 28, pushing up Asian LNG prices for August delivery by 20 cents from the prior week to US$4.80 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), according to Reuters data. Most of the demand came from Japan and China, the world’s no.1 and no.2 LNG importers, respectively, while India showed some short-term demand for power plants, sources told Reuters.
The higher prices in Asia resulted in several cargoes expected to be re-exported from Europe into the Asian market because prices in Europe have further decreased, to US$3.20 per MMBtu at the Dutch gas hub, according to Reuters data.