中国石化新闻网讯 新加坡普氏能源资讯7月5日消息,最新的澳大利亚液化天然气项目可以为大洋洲石油生产商减少原油出口提供一些急需的喘息机会,因为预计将会有越来越多的凝析油产量,以抵消该国快速下降的粗甜原油生产和销售。
Register Now Australia栏目观察到,过去10年,澳大利亚原油产量和出口大幅下降,去年第三季度,该国重质甜恩菲尔德(Enfield)原油日产量达到4,430桶,而2007年这一数字超过5万桶。
由于计划在此期间进行实地维修,包括比利牛斯和文森特在内的其他等级的原油出口前景仍然暗淡。
不过,澳大利亚工业、创新和科学部周一发布的《资源与能源季刊》(Resources and Energy Quarterly)显示,新LNG项目浪潮推动的凝析油产量上升,可能有助于澳大利亚未来几年的石油出口反弹。
包括惠特斯通(Wheatstone)和高更(Gorgon)在内的几个超轻原油品级最近在亚太甜原油市场首次成功销售,Ichthys凝析油的首批货物可能在第三季度末上市。
报告显示,澳大利亚预计在2017-2018财年(7- 6月),其原油和凝析油日产量将达到29.2万桶,本财年产量预计将增至35.4万桶,下一财年将增至43.7万桶。
根据这份报告,预计出口将从上一财政年度的每日23万桶增加到本财政年度的每日29.9万桶,到2019-2020财政年度的每日35.5万桶。
2018年3月,澳大利亚的原油和凝析油日产量平均为28.2万桶。这是5.3%的年增长率;凝析油产量的强劲增长抵消了原油产量下降的影响。
胡晶晶摘译自普氏能源资讯
原文如下
The latest stream of Australian LNG projects could offer some much needed respite to the Oceania oil producer's dwindling crude oil exports, with growing condensate output expected to offset the country's fast declining heavy sweet crude production and sales.
Register Now Australia has witnessed a sharp decline in crude output and exports over the past decade with production of heavy sweet Enfield crude seen at 4,430 b/d in the third quarter of last year, compared with more than 50,000 b/d in 2007.
The outlook for heavy crude exports remains bleak as other grades including Pyrenees and Vincent will not be available for sale in the international market over the next few quarters due to the planned field maintenance during the period.
However, higher condensate production driven by the wave of new LNG projects could help Australia's total oil exports bounce back over the next couple of years, according to the Resources and Energy Quarterly released by the government's Department of Industry, Innovation and Science Monday.
Several ultra-light crude grades, including Wheatstone and Gorgon have recently made successful debut sales in the Asia Pacific sweet crude market and the very first cargo of Ichthys condensate could be offered in late Q3.
Australia is forecast to have produced 292,000 b/d of crude and condensate in fiscal 2017-2018 (July-June), and the output is expected to rise to 354,000 b/d in the current fiscal year and to 437,000 b/d in the next, the report showed.
Exports are forecast to rise from 230,000 b/d in the last fiscal year, to 299,000 b/d in the current fiscal year and to 355,000 b/d in fiscal 2019-2020, according to the report.
"Australia's crude and condensate production averaged 282,000 b/d in March 2018 quarter. This was an annual increase of 5.3%; a strong increase in condensate production offset the impact of lower crude oil production," the report said.